Stock Charts (Through January 31 2020)
Each link displays two monthly price-monitoring charts going back as far as 2009. Price series are downloaded from Yahoo Finance. The first chart shows the month-end price series together with a smoothed, deseasonalized trend curve based on price logarithm. The latter is predicted ahead twelve months using a simple quadratic, autoregressive fit which in some instances produces a questionable top. Nevertheless, the two curves make it easy to visualize where current price is relative to trend and also where it might be headed in terms of reversion to trend, although the trend forecast will obviously adjust with updated actuals. Historical fluctuations around trend also indicate the inherent volatility in the price series. Forecast gain is the percent change from the current price to the maximum forecasted price over the next twelve months. The second chart shows three rate-of-change curves. ROC112 is the year-over-year percent change in the price series. ROC312 is the year-over-year percent change in a three-month moving average of the price series. ROC1212 is the year-over-year percent change in a twelve-month moving average of the price series. The optimal configuration is when all three ROC curves are heading up in order, with ROC112 > ROC312 > ROC1212 which indicates that price is accelerating. Our two charts can to be used together to visualize where we have been, where we are, and where we might be going in the near term.
These charts do not represent buy or sell recommendations. They simply provide visual price trends in a format that is not generally available elsewhere. But, of course, we are only showing interesting stock charts.
General Monitors (Down is Good)
10-Yr T-Note Yield
CBOE Volatility Index
Funds & ETFs (Up is Good)
DBLTX
DIA
FAGIX
GLD
HYG
IWD
IWM
MDY
PSK
SPY
VCIT
VCSH
VEIPX
VTINX
VTV
VWEHX
VWELX
VWINX
VYM
FUND FORECAST GAINS
Individual Stocks (Screened, Up is Good)
AAPL
BX
CHTR
COST
CTAS
DHR
FIS
FSPKF
GPN
HD
KBH
LMT
MDT
MELI
MSFT
NEE
NICE
PAYC
PHM
PODD
RMD
RTN
SHOP
SPGI
TDG
TSLA ( ? )
V
ZTS
STOCK FORECAST GAINS
Each link displays two monthly price-monitoring charts going back as far as 2009. Price series are downloaded from Yahoo Finance. The first chart shows the month-end price series together with a smoothed, deseasonalized trend curve based on price logarithm. The latter is predicted ahead twelve months using a simple quadratic, autoregressive fit which in some instances produces a questionable top. Nevertheless, the two curves make it easy to visualize where current price is relative to trend and also where it might be headed in terms of reversion to trend, although the trend forecast will obviously adjust with updated actuals. Historical fluctuations around trend also indicate the inherent volatility in the price series. Forecast gain is the percent change from the current price to the maximum forecasted price over the next twelve months. The second chart shows three rate-of-change curves. ROC112 is the year-over-year percent change in the price series. ROC312 is the year-over-year percent change in a three-month moving average of the price series. ROC1212 is the year-over-year percent change in a twelve-month moving average of the price series. The optimal configuration is when all three ROC curves are heading up in order, with ROC112 > ROC312 > ROC1212 which indicates that price is accelerating. Our two charts can to be used together to visualize where we have been, where we are, and where we might be going in the near term.
These charts do not represent buy or sell recommendations. They simply provide visual price trends in a format that is not generally available elsewhere. But, of course, we are only showing interesting stock charts.
General Monitors (Down is Good)
10-Yr T-Note Yield
CBOE Volatility Index
Funds & ETFs (Up is Good)
DBLTX
DIA
FAGIX
GLD
HYG
IWD
IWM
MDY
PSK
SPY
VCIT
VCSH
VEIPX
VTINX
VTV
VWEHX
VWELX
VWINX
VYM
FUND FORECAST GAINS
Individual Stocks (Screened, Up is Good)
AAPL
BX
CHTR
COST
CTAS
DHR
FIS
FSPKF
GPN
HD
KBH
LMT
MDT
MELI
MSFT
NEE
NICE
PAYC
PHM
PODD
RMD
RTN
SHOP
SPGI
TDG
TSLA ( ? )
V
ZTS
STOCK FORECAST GAINS