Stock Charts (Through March 31 2020)
Each link displays two monthly price-monitoring charts going back as far as 2009. Price series are downloaded from Yahoo Finance. The first chart shows the month-end price series together with a smoothed, deseasonalized trend curve. The latter is predicted ahead twelve months using a simple model which in some instances produces a questionable top. Moreover, price trend extrapolations are highly questionable in the current volatile environment and they will obviously adjust with updated actuals. Nevertheless, the two curves make it easy to visualize where current price is relative to trend. Historical fluctuations around trend also indicate the inherent volatility in the price series. Potential gain is the percent change from the current price to the twelve-month extrapolated price trend, although again these numbers are highly questionable in the current environment. The second chart shows three rate-of-change curves. ROC112 is the year-over-year percent change in the price series. ROC312 is the year-over-year percent change in a three-month moving average of the price series. ROC1212 is the year-over-year percent change in a twelve-month moving average of the price series. The optimal configuration is when all three ROC curves are heading up in order, with ROC112 > ROC312 > ROC1212 which indicates that price is accelerating. Conversely, ROC112 < ROC312 < ROC1212 indicates that price is decelerating. Our two charts can to be used together to visualize where we have been, where we are, and where we might be going in the near term.
These charts do not represent buy or sell recommendations. They simply provide visual price trends in a format that is not generally available elsewhere. But, of course, we are only showing interesting stock charts.
General Monitors
10-Yr T-Note Yield (plunging)
CBOE Volatility Index (currently extreme)
Funds & ETFs
Pretty dismal across the board, except for GLD. It's alarming that corporate bond funds have cratered along with stocks.
DBLTX
FAGIX
GLD
HYG
SPY
VCIT
VCSH
VEIPX
VTINX
VWEHX
VWELX
VWINX
Individual Stocks (Screened)
Slim pickins.
CONE
FIT
FSPKF (Respirators)
SGEN
TDOC (Virtual Connections)
VRTX
Each link displays two monthly price-monitoring charts going back as far as 2009. Price series are downloaded from Yahoo Finance. The first chart shows the month-end price series together with a smoothed, deseasonalized trend curve. The latter is predicted ahead twelve months using a simple model which in some instances produces a questionable top. Moreover, price trend extrapolations are highly questionable in the current volatile environment and they will obviously adjust with updated actuals. Nevertheless, the two curves make it easy to visualize where current price is relative to trend. Historical fluctuations around trend also indicate the inherent volatility in the price series. Potential gain is the percent change from the current price to the twelve-month extrapolated price trend, although again these numbers are highly questionable in the current environment. The second chart shows three rate-of-change curves. ROC112 is the year-over-year percent change in the price series. ROC312 is the year-over-year percent change in a three-month moving average of the price series. ROC1212 is the year-over-year percent change in a twelve-month moving average of the price series. The optimal configuration is when all three ROC curves are heading up in order, with ROC112 > ROC312 > ROC1212 which indicates that price is accelerating. Conversely, ROC112 < ROC312 < ROC1212 indicates that price is decelerating. Our two charts can to be used together to visualize where we have been, where we are, and where we might be going in the near term.
These charts do not represent buy or sell recommendations. They simply provide visual price trends in a format that is not generally available elsewhere. But, of course, we are only showing interesting stock charts.
General Monitors
10-Yr T-Note Yield (plunging)
CBOE Volatility Index (currently extreme)
Funds & ETFs
Pretty dismal across the board, except for GLD. It's alarming that corporate bond funds have cratered along with stocks.
DBLTX
FAGIX
GLD
HYG
SPY
VCIT
VCSH
VEIPX
VTINX
VWEHX
VWELX
VWINX
Individual Stocks (Screened)
Slim pickins.
CONE
FIT
FSPKF (Respirators)
SGEN
TDOC (Virtual Connections)
VRTX